Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.611379 0.701791 0.800277 0.915434 1.046301 1.190307 1.360701
2024-12-29 0.467766 0.587794 0.729959 0.910390 1.132912 1.397975 1.737287
2025-01-05 0.356024 0.486627 0.653771 0.882495 1.186409 1.575327 2.109675
2025-01-12 0.285809 0.422374 0.610112 0.885415 1.276949 1.811596 2.594459
2025-01-19 0.224179 0.356639 0.551403 0.856084 1.317626 1.986763 3.025515
2025-01-26 0.191288 0.325592 0.535574 0.883925 1.442554 2.297159 3.694910
2025-02-02 0.167612 0.303805 0.529204 0.923931 1.590873 2.662429 4.500088
2025-02-09 0.142690 0.274663 0.505251 0.930346 1.684894 2.954315 5.230014
2025-02-16 0.121475 0.247598 0.479592 0.928524 1.763158 3.229076 5.967885
2025-02-23 0.104654 0.225225 0.458061 0.929685 1.845441 3.519821 6.770752
2025-03-02 0.090679 0.205558 0.437931 0.929483 1.923941 3.812368 7.613629
2025-03-09 0.080716 0.192170 0.427662 0.946479 2.037107 4.182343 8.647454
2025-03-16 0.069922 0.174996 0.407056 0.939772 2.103709 4.475477 9.580217
2025-03-23 0.062820 0.164830 0.399726 0.960195 2.229852 4.903744 10.840856
2025-03-30 0.054478 0.149918 0.379105 0.947541 2.282566 5.187844 11.841243
2025-04-06 0.048975 0.140971 0.370782 0.961837 2.397584 5.618920 13.210979
2025-04-13 0.042160 0.127074 0.347915 0.937275 2.418695 5.846693 14.163100
2025-04-20 0.039149 0.122983 0.349032 0.972528 2.588184 6.430635 15.994542
2025-04-27 0.036928 0.120685 0.354436 1.019722 2.794123 7.124798 18.167651
2025-05-04 0.033417 0.113768 0.346103 1.029010 2.905011 7.606339 19.893318
2025-05-11 0.029983 0.106306 0.334883 1.028477 2.990093 8.035340 21.543471
2025-05-18 0.027053 0.099794 0.325223 1.030729 3.083022 8.495514 23.327971
2025-05-25 0.024413 0.093638 0.315494 1.031144 3.170980 8.953833 25.163606